Federal Reserve FOMC raises year-end 2026 interest rate projection to 4.1%

TechFlow reports that on September 17, according to Jinshi Data, the Federal Reserve FOMC's latest Summary of Economic Projections clearly shows that the median expectation for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026 has been raised to 4.1%. Compared to the 3.8% projection level published at the June meeting this year, this medium- to long-term interest rate guidance has seen a substantive upward revision.

This data update directly reflects policymakers' revised intermediate assessment of the future monetary environment. The shift in this core macro indicator will provide the market with a clear interest rate anchor, further influencing subsequent policy communication and liquidity expectations.