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QCP: Market Stabilizes After Hawkish Fed Decision, Short-Term Digital Asset Resilience Remains to Be Confirmed

2026.07.31 - 10:03
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TechFlow reports, July 31, QCP Capital stated that the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%—3.75%, but as three committee members supported a rate hike and Chairman Warsh downplayed clear forward guidance, the overall stance was hawkish. The market once re-evaluated the interest rate path; U.S. stocks fell after the interest rate decision was announced, then rebounded driven by corporate earnings, led by Microsoft; Bitcoin also weakened briefly around the meeting, then stabilized near $64,000.

U.S. economic data still shows divergence: second-quarter GDP annualized growth slowed to 1.5%, but consumer spending and domestic demand fundamentals remain resilient; Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Core PCE) year-on-year was 3.3%, indicating inflation remains the focus of Federal Reserve policy.

Asian markets also experienced increased volatility. The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) rebounded a record 17.9% on Friday, after falling over 17% within the previous week, reflecting that the correlation between AI concept stocks, regional liquidity, and crypto asset sentiment is strengthening.

Overall, digital assets showed certain resilience in July, but the subsequent direction still lacks clear signals. With the Federal Reserve meeting, a short-term catalyst, now concluded, interest rate trends, Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) fund flows, and overall risk appetite will remain the core variables determining the next phase of market trends.

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