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Goldman Sachs: If the Federal Reserve Holds Steady Today, the FX Market Will Focus on the Probability of Future Rate Hikes

2026.07.29 - 15:18
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7x24h News

Goldman Sachs: If the Federal Reserve Holds Steady Today, the FX Market Will Focus on the Probability of Future Rate Hikes

Ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the US Dollar Index traded flat; the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of this decision is exceptionally high. Goldman Sachs economists expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady, but anticipate at least one dissenting vote in favor of a rate hike. They stated in a report that energy price volatility triggered by the war has cast a shadow over the outlook. Current market pricing shows the probability of a rate hike today is about 30%. Goldman Sachs stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains rates unchanged today, the focus of the foreign exchange market will be on how much of the rate hike expectations previously reflected in prices will shift to subsequent monetary policy meetings. Data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) shows that investors have priced in expectations for a rate hike in September. (Jin10)

2026.07.29 - 15:18:48

TechFlow news, on July 29, prior to the Federal Reserve's announcement of the interest rate decision, the US Dollar Index remained flat; the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of this decision is exceptionally high. Goldman Sachs economists expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady, but at least one vote will oppose and support a rate hike. They stated in a report that energy price volatility triggered by the war has cast a shadow over the outlook. Current market pricing indicates that the probability of a rate hike today is approximately 30%. Goldman Sachs stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates unchanged today, the focus of the foreign exchange market will be on how much of the rate hike expectations previously reflected in prices will be shifted to subsequent monetary policy meetings. Data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) shows that investors have already priced in expectations for a rate hike in September. (Jin10)

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