TechFlow News, May 30: According to on-chain analyst “Aunt Ai,” BLG suffered an upset loss to WE with a score of 1–3 in tonight’s League of Legends professional match—drawing significant attention from both the esports community and prediction markets.
Prior to the match, data from the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket showed BLG’s win probability peaking at 95.5%, with market consensus expecting a comfortable victory for BLG. However, the actual outcome deviated sharply from market expectations, as WE pulled off the upset win.
Impacted by the match result, Polymarket user TrevorPlovdivBulgariaForHisBirthday incurred cumulative losses of approximately $157,500 after consistently betting on BLG’s victory.
This incident once again highlights the substantial outcome uncertainty inherent in prediction markets—even for events assigned very high probabilities. For participants, a high win probability does not guarantee realization of the expected outcome; “black swan” events in popular matches can still trigger significant losses.
