TechFlow News: On April 9, the Federal Reserve’s March meeting minutes indicated that a majority of participants believe the process of inflation returning to 2% may be slower than previously anticipated, and the risk of persistently elevated inflation has increased. Rising oil prices stemming from the Middle East situation were viewed as potentially pushing up inflation, heightening economic uncertainty, and introducing downside risks. Regarding the policy path, an increasing number of participants consider it appropriate to adopt a “two-way” phrasing—meaning rate hikes remain possible if inflation does not clearly recede, while rate cuts may become necessary should the economy or labor market weaken. Some participants have further pushed back their expectations for the timing of rate cuts.
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