TechFlow News, March 23: According to JIN10 Data, Morgan Stanley’s interest rate strategists Luca Salford and Maria Chiara Russo stated in a report that the ongoing Middle East conflict, limited observability of buffer zones, and central banks’ initial analysis of a stagflationary environment have prompted them to revise Morgan Stanley’s central bank forecasts. Morgan Stanley now expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise rates by 50 basis points each in June and September 2026, while withdrawing its previous expectation of rate hikes in 2027. According to LSEG data, financial markets currently anticipate three ECB rate hikes this year. The strategists also project that, under their baseline ECB interest rate path scenario, the 10-year German government bond yield will stand at 2.80% by end-2026 and 2.70% in 2027.
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