TechFlow News: On March 19, CITIC Securities noted that the Federal Reserve kept its policy interest rate unchanged at its March 2026 meeting, in line with market expectations. The latest “dot plot” indicates a median target federal funds rate of 3.4% for this year—unchanged from the December 2025 projection—while inflation forecasts for this year were raised, GDP growth forecasts were slightly upgraded, and unemployment forecasts were held steady. As expected, Powell refrained from commenting on the Iran situation or oil prices; notably, his confidence in tariff-driven inflation easing has further weakened compared to January. A rate cut is not anticipated in April; under Chair Worshe’s leadership, the baseline scenario calls for one 25-basis-point rate cut in the second half of the year. (Jin10)
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