Huobi HTX "Fire Partner 1+1" Dialogue with Zhengrong Shuo and Crypto Senior Brother: Trading Wisdom from Novice to Professional Trader
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Huobi HTX "Fire Partner 1+1" Dialogue with Zhengrong Shuo and Crypto Senior Brother: Trading Wisdom from Novice to Professional Trader
On August 4, HTX Huobi's latest "Huoban 1+1" session invited Crypto Master Senior Brother and Zhengrong Say to share their practical experience and profound insights in the cryptocurrency field, focusing on topics such as cycle assessment, narrative selection, trading system construction, position management, and trading psychology.
Navigating Web3 tides with focused insights
Current Market Cycle and Trend Analysis
Zhengrong says the current market is at the end of a bull cycle. Since the 2022 lows, Bitcoin has risen approximately 6.5x, showing significant gains; however, anticipated positive catalysts (such as rate cuts, ETF approvals, and Bitcoin halving) have gradually materialized, leaving limited room for stronger macro-level drivers ahead. Altcoins have shown weakness during pullbacks, making them suitable for short-term swing trading, while major market movements remain relatively stable.
Zhengrong also notes that whether Bitcoin breaks its previous all-time high has little impact on short-term traders. The key lies in capturing sentiment-driven opportunities, such as sharp moves during topping formations or strong momentum phases within uptrends.
Crypto Master Brother points out that the current bull market is primarily driven by institutions and national teams, leaving limited profit space for retail investors. "This is not a traditional broad-based bull market accessible to everyone, but rather an institutional bull market focused on Bitcoin and Ethereum. A new all-time high for Bitcoin is highly likely, but retail investors should pay attention to projects with real-world applications (such as Ethereum Layer 2 solutions) and wealth creation potential from emerging narratives."
Trading System and Mindset Development
During the livestream, Zhengrong shared his journey from beginner to professional trader and how he built his trading system. He divides his system into three core components: market analysis (primarily price action with technical indicators as supplementary), position sizing (fixed lot sizes and emotional control), and mindset management (driven by risk-reward ratio and win rate). He also adopts a "thematic learning approach," rapidly building knowledge through high-view-count educational videos, then validating insights with small-position practice, gradually iterating into a personalized system. He trades with fixed capital (e.g., $10,000), strictly applying stop-loss and take-profit levels to ensure psychological stability and controllable returns. After experiencing liquidation, he reviews losses with small positions to avoid emotional trading.
Crypto Master Brother emphasizes that the core of a trading system lies in mindset and position management. He recommends using only funds that do not affect one's daily life, avoiding gambling mentality. He advocates either long-term trend trading (aligning with major cycles) or low-frequency swing trading (small moves after consolidation), avoiding the complexity of high-frequency trading.
Narrative Evolution and Sector Selection
On narrative evolution and sector selection, Zhengrong believes narratives can be categorized into major and minor trends. For example, the 2023 Ordinals boom was a major trend, offering substantial early profits. Recently, there has been a lack of similarly impactful narratives, with RWA and Meme coins representing more short-term rotations.
In his trading, he does not center decisions on sector narratives. Instead, he screens 1-3 top-performing coins daily based on relative strength rankings, focusing on single-coin trades to reduce liquidation risk. He emphasizes "repeating the right actions consistently" and uses relative strength logic to capture "white horse" opportunities. He advises decisively participating in major trends, while for minor trends, relying primarily on strength screening to avoid scattered focus.
Crypto Master Brother compares cryptocurrencies to U.S. tech stocks, believing AI and RWA are the core future narratives. Projects with real utility, such as Ethereum Layer 2 solutions, hold greater potential. He suggests allocating small capital to test emerging narratives, following the principle of "buy when no one cares, sell when everyone is excited," while remaining cautious about purely speculative assets and prioritizing projects backed by tangible fundamentals.
Toward the end of the livestream, both guests shared their personal journeys and offered advice to traders. Zhengrong said trading goes against human nature, recommending beginners start with small capital. Passion and persistence are key to long-term success, and "lifelong learning" is essential to keep pace with industry developments.
Master Brother revealed that his early experience of being liquidated taught him the importance of fund safety and emotional discipline. He recommends using top-tier exchanges like Binance and Huobi HTX to safeguard funds. Beginners should focus on spot dollar-cost averaging, adopting a 70% spot and 30% futures allocation, following the "safety first" principle to avoid significant losses caused by greed or fear.
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